TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Adhyaksa and Yogyakarta. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Adhyaksa, Yogyakarta, or a tied outcome will prevail.
The event resolves based on the result of the Adhyaksa vs Yogyakarta professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Adhyaksa wins, the 'Adhyaksa' market resolves to Yes. If Yogyakarta wins, the 'Yogyakarta' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their models and risk management, while this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply a more accurate reflection of the true probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at any time, setting their own prices. The price of a contract represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adhyaksa vs Yogyakarta match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to Oct 24, 2026 for any developments that could impact the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Adhyaksa or Yogyakarta could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in the teams’ performance or public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can impact trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions.