TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Adhyaksa and Persebaya. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve according to whether Adhyaksa wins, Persebaya wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Adhyaksa vs Persebaya professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 9, 2026: Adhyaksa win, Persebaya win, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootouts excluded from consideration. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing information or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets reflecting sharper odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, but this isn’t always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adhyaksa vs Persebaya match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the results to ensure accuracy and fairness for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, as well as public sentiment expressed through social media and polls, can also impact trading behavior. Furthermore, any significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price adjustments in this market. Unexpected weather conditions could also play a role.