TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Adhyaksa and Malut United. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will reflect whether Adhyaksa wins, Malut United wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Adhyaksa vs Malut United professional Indonesia Super League soccer game scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Adhyaksa wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Adhyaksa' market resolves to Yes. If Malut United wins under the same conditions, the 'Malut United' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different insights than conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is Malut United wins, though probabilities can shift rapidly based on trading volume and external developments. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate new information and participant sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adhyaksa vs Malut United match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against official sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions affecting the match location or performance could also be a catalyst for price movement. Furthermore, public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can influence trader behavior and drive changes in the market. Any significant development related to either team has the potential to move this market before Oct 20, 2026.