TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the handball match between Ademar Leon and Villa de Aranda in the Liga ASOBAL, scheduled for October 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ademar Leon" if Ademar Leon is officially credited with the match win, including any extra time or penalty throws used by the competition. This market will resolve to "Villa de Aranda" if Villa de Aranda is officially credited with the match win, including any extra time or penalty throws used by the competition. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ASOBAL results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the handball match between Ademar Leon and Villa de Aranda in the Liga ASOBAL, scheduled for October 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ademar Leon" if Ademar Leon is officially credited with the match win, including any extra time or penalty throws used by the competition. This market will resolve to "Villa de Aranda" if Villa de Aranda is officially credited with the match win, including any extra time or penalty throws used by the competition. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ASOBAL results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Ademar Leon vs. Villa de Aranda match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable information to ensure an accurate and transparent determination of the market's outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in coaching could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either team, or broader shifts in handball rankings, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and drive price movements, as could significant media coverage or expert analysis of the upcoming match.