TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$6,930
57%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Adelaide United FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:06h:47m

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-11-08?

34%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 35¢ buys you 286 shares | Odds: 34% Total Payout: $286 | Net Profit: $186 Multiplier: 2.86x | ROI: 186% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Adelaide United FC

Trade
34%
Yes 35¢No 68¢
3¢
$2,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 47m
Active
kalshi

Adelaide

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 47m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Draw (Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC)

Trade
26%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
$2,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 47m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 47m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
polymarket

Melbourne Victory FC

Trade
40%
Yes 41¢No 61¢
2¢
$2,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 6h 47m
Active
kalshi

Melbourne Victory

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 9h 47m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC, scheduled for November 8, 2026. Markets exist for Adelaide United winning, Melbourne Victory winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets focus on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Be aware of the differing cancellation policies. If you believe a cancellation is likely, Polymarket offers a defined outcome, while Kalshi's outcome is uncertain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of data sources (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Implies resolution is dependent on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Adelaide vs Melbourne Victory professional Australia A League soccer match originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Adelaide wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Adelaide' market resolves to Yes. If Melbourne Victory wins under the same conditions, the 'Melbourne Victory' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, as reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, the ability to trade positions in prediction markets allows for dynamic adjustments based on new developments, something not typically available with fixed-odds betting. The current volume on this market suggests a level of interest and informed speculation.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Different user bases on each platform may have varying levels of expertise or access to information about the A-League soccer match. Trading incentives and platform-specific fees can also influence pricing. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $0 overall – impact how efficiently information is reflected in the odds. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the various outcomes of the match, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the A-League soccer match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The volume of $0 indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this match, and the outcome will be determined based on the official results released after the game concludes.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or coaching changes for either Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis and public opinion could impact trading activity. A significant change in volume, such as a large buy or sell order, could also cause a noticeable price movement in this market.