TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Another women's cricket match features two teams vying for victory. The result is determined by the official match winner as declared by the governing body.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they are declared the official winner of the match. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If it occurs after the match begins and the governing body declares an official winner, the market resolves based on that result.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals making predictions based on their own analysis, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probabilities of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence among market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome, and these beliefs are aggregated to form the market's overall prediction. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic process creates a real-time forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Adelaide Strikers Women versus Perth Scorchers Women match, as reported by the governing body for the Women's Big Bash League. The market will determine which outcome—Adelaide winning, Perth winning—is the correct one based on this official result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups for either the Adelaide Strikers Women or the Perth Scorchers Women would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role, as adverse conditions might favor one team over the other. Additionally, performance in recent matches, expert analysis, and even public sentiment expressed on social media could all influence trading activity and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.