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$154.4b

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$245,801,863

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Adelaide 36ers vs. New Zealand Breakers
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Adelaide 36ers vs. New Zealand Breakers?

Volume:
$157,427

New Zealand Breakers

 - Kalshi

New Zealand Breakers - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:32 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand Breakers

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57,986
N/A
N/A
$31,102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adelaide 36ers

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,374
N/A
N/A
$24,123
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers (-7.5)

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers vs. New Zealand Breakers

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 177.5

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Adelaide 36ers and the New Zealand Breakers. The market resolves to either Adelaide 36ers winning or New Zealand Breakers winning the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets diverge on the game date, with Polymarket referencing an immediate game and Kalshi referencing a game over a year in the future.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as the likely correct market due to the immediate game date. Avoid Kalshi until the date discrepancy is clarified.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NBL game scheduled for October 4 at 2:00AM ET, using the NBL website as a source. If Adelaide wins, Adelaide 36ers resolves Yes. If New Zealand wins, New Zealand Breakers resolves Yes. Postponements extend the market, cancellations result in a 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Adelaide 36ers or New Zealand Breakers wins the game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:00 AM EDT. This market refers to a game over a year in the future.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 4 at 2:00AM ET: If the Adelaide 36ers win, the market will resolve to "Adelaide 36ers". If the New Zealand Breakers win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand Breakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the men's professional Australia NBL basketball game between the New Zealand Breakers and Adelaide 36ers, scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If Adelaide 36ers wins, that market resolves to Yes; if New Zealand Breakers wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets stay open and resolve per the official result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time leads to a fair price resolution for all markets. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different type of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate reflections of true probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks often offer more diverse betting options. Comparing the odds on this market to those offered by major sportsbooks can reveal interesting discrepancies and potential arbitrage opportunities.