TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United?

Volume:
$119,271

Melbourne United

 - Kalshi

Melbourne United - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 6:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melbourne United

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,785
N/A
N/A
$19,456
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 182.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,891
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adelaide 36ers

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,805
N/A
N/A
$25,595
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers (-4.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Adelaide 36ers and Melbourne United. The markets resolve to either Adelaide 36ers winning or Melbourne United winning the game, with tiebreakers and cancellation scenarios defined.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the two platforms, rendering them effectively separate markets for different games.Hero tip: Avoid trading both markets simultaneously. The Kalshi market is for a future game, while Polymarket is for a current game. Focus on the market aligned with your timeframe.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United game scheduled for October 7, 2024. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 7 at 4:30AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United game scheduled for October 7, 2026. "If Adelaide 36ers wins the Melbourne United vs Adelaide 36ers men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 7 at 4:30AM ET: If the Adelaide 36ers win, the market will resolve to "Adelaide 36ers". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Adelaide 36ers wins the Melbourne United vs Adelaide 36ers men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melbourne United wins the Melbourne United vs Adelaide 36ers men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the NBL championship race, specifically focusing on the Adelaide 36ers versus Melbourne United matchup. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of expectations. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $119,271, with Polymarket showing a strong inclination towards one outcome. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the likelihood of different results in this exciting contest. The dashboard offers a unique perspective on the potential winner of the championship.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital based on their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully accounted for by sportsbooks, such as insider knowledge or nuanced analysis. However, both offer valuable insights; this market’s prices can be a useful complement to sportsbook lines when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of the Adelaide 36ers versus Melbourne United contest.