TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Adelaide 36ers vs. Brisbane Bullets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Adelaide 36ers vs. Brisbane Bullets?

Volume:
$321,623

Brisbane Bullets

 - Kalshi

Brisbane Bullets - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:12 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Brisbane Bullets

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$160,710
N/A
N/A
$110,817
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adelaide 36ers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$104,931
N/A
N/A
$59,332
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers (-7.5)

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide 36ers vs. Brisbane Bullets

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 41m
No
polymarket

O/U 189.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Adelaide 36ers and the Brisbane Bullets. The market resolves to the winning team, or splits 50-50 if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game date in 2026, while Polymarket references a current game date in November 2024. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Avoid trading on the Kalshi market until the date discrepancy is resolved. Focus on the Polymarket market, which appears to be referencing the correct game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the NBL game scheduled for November 1, 2024 at 1:00 AM ET. If canceled, resolves 50-50. "In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to either Adelaide 36ers or Brisbane Bullets winning the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST. "If Adelaide 36ers wins the Brisbane Bullets vs Adelaide 36ers men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 1:00 AM EST..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00AM ET: If the Adelaide 36ers win, the market will resolve to "Adelaide 36ers". If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Australia NBL basketball game between Brisbane Bullets and Adelaide 36ers, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at 1:00 AM EST. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not begin within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the NBL match between Adelaide 36ers and Brisbane Bullets. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of approximately 67.5% for one outcome, with a total volume of $321,623. This represents the aggregated predictions of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive view of expectations for the NBL match. The dashboard provides a dynamic assessment of the likely result, reflecting real-time shifts in sentiment and information as the event approaches. This is a great way to follow the NBL match market.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from the spread, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Experienced bettors often compare both to identify potential value and inform their strategies.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, information flow and interpretation may vary between the two platforms, leading to differing expectations about the Adelaide 36ers versus Brisbane Bullets match. Market depth – the volume of orders at different price levels – also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility and divergence. These factors contribute to the possibility of observing different probabilities for the same outcome on each platform.