TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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ADC Race 2026: Winner?
polymarket

ADC Race 2026: Winner?

Volume:
$63,237

NattyNatt

 - Polymarket

NattyNatt - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 7:49 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

NattyNatt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
Yes
polymarket

AloisNL

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

SpearShot

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,806
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Azzapp

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Placeholder 1

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Placeholder 2

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Placeholder 3

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the ADC Race 2026, a League of Legends solo queue race between Azzapp, AloisNL, NattyNatt, and SpearShot to reach the highest rank within a cap of 400 games each while playing ADC champions. If this race is not completed, or a winner has not been determined, by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from TrackDiff (https://trackdiff.com/races/adc); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including the participants' own streams, may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the ADC Race 2026, a League of Legends solo queue race between Azzapp, AloisNL, NattyNatt, and SpearShot to reach the highest rank within a cap of 400 games each while playing ADC champions. If this race is not completed, or a winner has not been determined, by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from TrackDiff (https://trackdiff.com/races/adc); however, a consensus of credible reporting, including the participants' own streams, may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the event cycle, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis that sportsbooks may not yet fully account for. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Polymarket tend to converge with those found at major sportsbooks.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely winner of the ADC Race 2026. The current volume indicates active trading and a degree of confidence in the leading contenders.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the ADC Race 2026, as announced by the race organizers. The market will determine which candidate ultimately wins the race, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner. Traders should monitor official announcements as the event date approaches to understand the final outcome and settlement process for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact the odds in this market. Any major announcements regarding the candidates’ training progress, endorsements, or public appearances could shift sentiment. Unexpected injuries or changes in team strategy could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in the frontrunner could influence trading activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the ADC Race 2026 will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market before it resolves.