TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma score more goals than FC Cajamarca in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Cajamarca" if FC Cajamarca score more goals than AD Tarma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma score more goals than FC Cajamarca in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Cajamarca" if FC Cajamarca score more goals than AD Tarma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome – AD Tarma winning, FC Cajamarca winning, or a draw – and the prices of these shares fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe AD Tarma is likely to win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, attempting to represent the true probability of each outcome occurring in the second half.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half – whether AD Tarma wins, FC Cajamarca wins, or the half ends in a draw – will be determined based on the official match results reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. The official score at the end of the second half is the determining factor.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AD Tarma or FC Cajamarca would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant momentum shifts observed in the first half of the game, could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.