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$154.4b

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2,984,028,936

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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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63%

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AD Tarma vs. FC Cajamarca
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of AD Tarma vs. FC Cajamarca?

Volume:
$74,293

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,573
N/A
N/A
$20,739
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AD Tarma vs. FC Cajamarca)

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,410
N/A
N/A
$13,813
Settled
No
polymarket

AD Tarma

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

FC Cajamarca

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,347
N/A
N/A
$15,205
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Cajamarca

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca in Peru's Liga 1. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the winner, with established fallback sources for official data unavailability.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga 1 Peru statistics (https://liga1.pe/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between AD Tarma and FC Cajamarca.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional soccer match between Asociacion Deportiva Tarma and FC Cajamarca, scheduled for October 10, 2026, in the Peru Liga 1. If either team wins the match within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The resolution exclusively considers the result after normal time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their lines, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring. However, differences can exist due to varying information access and participant expertise. The spread between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered. This market provides a unique perspective compared to conventional betting venues.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, Polymarket might attract a different class of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing opinions on the probability of AD Tarma winning. Additionally, differing trading fees or limits on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence price discovery. The volume of trading on each platform—currently $74,293 overall—also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across platforms.