TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:12 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AD San Carlos and Inter San Carlos, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD San Carlos" if AD San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter San Carlos" if Inter San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AD San Carlos and Inter San Carlos, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD San Carlos" if AD San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Inter San Carlos" if Inter San Carlos are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information that may not be immediately factored into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others, can sometimes show differences in probability assessments compared to sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or as public perception shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets converge with sportsbook odds closer to the event start time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is the likelihood of either AD San Carlos or Inter San Carlos scoring first. The total volume traded provides an indication of the market’s interest and confidence in the predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AD San Carlos or Inter San Carlos would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Any significant public statements or analysis regarding the teams’ chances of success could also move this market.