TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 1:15 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón and Escorpiones de Belén, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón" if AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Escorpiones de Belén" if Escorpiones de Belén are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón and Escorpiones de Belén, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón" if AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Escorpiones de Belén" if Escorpiones de Belén are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the odds on Polymarket in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón or Escorpiones de Belén will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, and the price of the other outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures the market is constantly adapting to new information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match between AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón and Escorpiones de Belén. Any official data source recognized for soccer statistics will be used to verify the result. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on the day of the match, or tactical announcements from the coaches, could lead to adjustments in the price of shares on Polymarket. Unexpected events during the match itself, like a red card early on, would also be significant catalysts.