TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Liga Promerica game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Liga Promerica game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Costa Rican soccer match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts to traders holding winning shares. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the match, as well as any pre-game analysis from sports analysts, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed betting activity and cause rapid price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.