TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AD Fazendense and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Fazendense" if AD Fazendense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Estrela da Amadora" if CF Estrela da Amadora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AD Fazendense and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Fazendense" if AD Fazendense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CF Estrela da Amadora" if CF Estrela da Amadora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can buy shares, driving up the price and potentially creating arbitrage opportunities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the AD Fazendense vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match. If no goal is scored, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored'. The official match records will be used to determine the first goal scorer, and the platform will verify this information against reliable sports data sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either AD Fazendense or CF Estrela da Amadora could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, leading to price fluctuations.