TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:51 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between AD Fazendense and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AD Fazendense vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between AD Fazendense and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AD Fazendense vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. As a result, you might find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from traditional sportsbook offerings, especially if there’s significant public disagreement about the likely outcome of the AD Fazendense vs. Estrela da Amadora match. It’s useful to compare both to form a more informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific exact score. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s consensus view. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. The current trading volume and price fluctuations provide insight into how the market is interpreting available information about the AD Fazendense vs. Estrela da Amadora match, and the overall sentiment towards potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the AD Fazendense vs. Estrela da Amadora match – the exact score – will be used to determine which shares pay out. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will receive a payout, while those holding shares in incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions impacting the AD Fazendense vs. Estrela da Amadora match could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or key player availability would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price of shares, reflecting changes in trader sentiment as the event draws nearer.