TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between AD Ceuta FC and CE Sabadell FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game between AD Ceuta FC and CE Sabadell FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:15 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction markets like Polymarket can offer different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks for the Ceuta vs. Sabadell match. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn't present in prediction markets. This can lead to prediction market odds being more efficient, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. However, sportsbooks may have access to different information, such as team news or injury reports, that influences their pricing. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's lifecycle, as information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle to 100% for the correct exact score and 0% for all other possibilities. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AD Ceuta FC or CE Sabadell FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly lead to rapid adjustments in the market price. Broadly, any information that alters perceptions of each team's likelihood of scoring a specific number of goals could move this market.