This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between AD Cali and Fortaleza CEIF scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the match outcome: whether it will end in a draw, whether Fortaleza will win, and whether Cali will win, all measured within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms align on the same match outcome scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), the same governing body source (DIMAYOR), and identical edge-case handling for postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official DIMAYOR (Colombian football governing body) match statistics; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Draw market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise; resolves Yes if match is canceled with no makeup game.
Fortaleza win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Fortaleza wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup game.
Cali win market (Polymarket) resolves Yes if Cali wins, No otherwise; resolves No if match is canceled with no makeup game.
Kalshi markets (Cali win, Tie, Fortaleza win) each resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
All resolution determinations exclude extra time and penalty shootouts; only regular 90-minute play plus stoppage time counts.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the completed match outcome.
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, and all Polymarket win markets (Fortaleza and Cali) resolve No. Kalshi markets would resolve based on their specific outcome logic applied to the cancellation event.
Source Timing: Official DIMAYOR statistics are the primary source. If DIMAYOR does not publish final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
Extra Time and Penalties: Markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Only the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 1, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Official DIMAYOR statistics must be published or credible consensus established within 2 hours post-match for final settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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