TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, if any, will win the second half of a Serie A soccer match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC. It also offers a market on whether the second half will end in a draw. Resolution depends on goals scored solely within the second half of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina score more goals than Atalanta BC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC score more goals than ACF Fiorentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina score more goals than Atalanta BC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC score more goals than ACF Fiorentina in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those available on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets are driven by the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there’s significant public information available, and can even serve as a signal to sportsbook adjustments. The volume on this market is currently $17.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Fiorentina vs. Atalanta second half can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on Polymarket and Predict can influence price formation. These differences contribute to the observed variations in the probabilities assigned to each possible outcome in this market.