TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often resulting in probabilities that are more accurate than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or adjust lines based on betting action to manage their risk, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. However, differences can occur due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as sportsbooks and traders process new information differently.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC scoring first. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform doesn't use a central authority to set prices; instead, the market determines them organically through the interactions of its participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first goal in the ACF Fiorentina versus Atalanta BC match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against reliable sources covering the game. The platform will then automatically settle the contracts based on the confirmed first goalscorer, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key attacking players for either ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, if it deviates significantly from the current market expectation, could also trigger movement. Finally, even the weather forecast for the match day could play a role, as conditions might favor one team’s style of play over the other.