TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s odds are determined by the collective predictions of many individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information and insights not fully captured by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, especially regarding team news or injuries, compared to sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants regarding which team will score the first goal in the match between Fiorentina and Atalanta.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Fiorentina or Atalanta—officially scores the first goal in the match, as recorded by official match statistics. The resolution will be based on the official game records and will be publicly available following the completion of the match. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fiorentina or Atalanta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Furthermore, unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from respected football commentators could impact trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.