TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Academia Puerto Cabello and Tachira in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE. The result is determined by which team wins within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Academia Puerto Cabello vs Tachira professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026: Academia Puerto Cabello win, Tachira win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its respective outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the probability of a particular result. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both sets of odds aligning as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s result, and their actions directly influence the market price. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Academia Puerto Cabello versus Tachira match in the Venezuelan Primera División. The final score, as reported by official league sources, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the match venue might also play a role. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can all contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.