TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Academia Puerto Cabello and Monagas in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE. The result is determined solely by the standing after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will resolve based on whether either team wins or if the game ends in a tie during this standard timeframe.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026: a win for Academia Puerto Cabello, a win for Monagas, or a tie. All outcomes are determined exclusively by the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation deciding factors. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves as the winner. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by informed traders who attempt to accurately assess the probability of each outcome. As a result, the odds on Kalshi can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for arbitrage or identifying mispriced outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets aggregate information more efficiently, leading to more accurate probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Academia Puerto Cabello versus Monagas match. The current price represents the cost to take a position on a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Academia Puerto Cabello versus Monagas match in the Venezuelan Premier League. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their stake. The final result will be clearly communicated on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Academia Puerto Cabello or Monagas could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other recent matches, or even weather conditions on match day, can also introduce new information and trigger trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also play a role, though the market’s focus is on informed trading rather than pure speculation. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential price movements.