This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between AC Monza and Palermo FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi predict the outcome (Monza win, Palermo win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) use identical resolution scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary source (official governing body statistics), and identical edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, and fallback to consensus reporting).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Lega Serie B statistics and event organizer records; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Monza win market resolves Yes if Monza scores more goals than Palermo; otherwise No.
Palermo win market resolves Yes if Palermo scores more goals than Monza; otherwise No.
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No.
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and final result is available.
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Monza win and Palermo win markets resolve No, and draw market resolves Yes.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Monza win and Palermo win markets resolve to No. The draw market resolves to Yes.
Source publication delay: Primary resolution source is official Lega Serie B statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets) may be used instead.
Scope limitation: Resolution is based only on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts, if they occur, are not considered for market resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final statistics are published by Lega Serie B or event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are not yet available (at which point consensus reporting may be used).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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