Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 24, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers (Lega Serie B / Italian Football Federation), with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Modena FC 2018 win market resolves YES if and only if Modena wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
AC Monza win market resolves YES if and only if Monza wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise NO.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
Resolution scope is limited to regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and a result is determined.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Monza win and Modena win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official governing body statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by the governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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