TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the first half of the AC Monza versus Cagliari Calcio Serie A match will be over or under 3.5. Currently, “AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 3.5” has a 10.0% probability on Polymarket, while “AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: 1st Half O/U 2.5” sits at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official data reported on https://www.legaseriea.it/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match on October 19 at 12:30 PM ET, as the first half score will ultimately resolve this market.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 19 at 12:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If prediction market participants believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can capitalize on the discrepancy, driving the odds on Polymarket closer to their collective assessment. It's common to see differences, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or changes in market sentiment, offering opportunities for informed traders to profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AC Monza vs. Cagliari match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that determines the resolution will depend on the exact parameters of the market, but will be clearly defined on Polymarket prior to the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or a significant change in team strategy would likely cause noticeable price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches or shifts in public perception of either team's chances could also impact the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.