TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:19h:16m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between AC Milan and Ferencvárosi TC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If no team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between AC Milan and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ferencvárosi TC" if Ferencvárosi TC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AC Milan and Ferencvárosi TC, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Ferencvárosi TC" if Ferencvárosi TC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not readily available to sportsbooks or react more quickly to breaking news. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC match.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on Polymarket and Predict may contribute to price discrepancies. These differences reflect the independent assessment of traders on each platform.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by which team scores the first goal in the AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC match. Official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the result. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted which team would achieve this milestone. The outcome will be based on the official result of the match.
Several signals could significantly shift the odds in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AC Milan or Ferencvárosi TC would likely impact predictions. Tactical announcements from either team’s manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence the market. Unexpected weather conditions on Nov 5, 2026 could also be a factor. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ relative strengths could drive changes in trading activity and ultimately move this market.