TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano
Volume:
$3,990,467
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano Serie A match scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets track whether Inter wins, AC Milan wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the same match outcome (Inter win, Milan win, or draw), same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), same primary source (official Serie A statistics), and same postponement logic (markets remain open). The only minor divergence is cancellation handling: Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes if canceled, while win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation but implies all outcomes resolve Yes if the match occurs.
Primary resolution logic:
Lega Serie A official match statistics (https://www.legaseriea.it/); secondary source is credible consensus reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Inter wins market resolves Yes if FC Internazionale Milano scores more goals than AC Milan at end of regular play
- Milan wins market resolves Yes if AC Milan scores more goals than FC Internazionale Milano at end of regular play
- Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals at end of regular play
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no make-up game: Inter and Milan win markets resolve No (no victory); draw market resolves Yes (no winner determined)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled: Inter win and Milan win markets resolve to No (no winner exists); draw market resolves to Yes (match did not produce a winner)
- Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie A does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
- Extra Time and Penalties: Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play determines the outcome
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics from Lega Serie A are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible consensus reporting is used. Postponed matches remain unresolved until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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