TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks forecasters to predict the exact final score of a Serie A soccer match between AC Milan and Bologna FC 1909. The markets consider only the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If the match is cancelled, Polymarket resolves to 0-0.
In the upcoming Serie A game between AC Milan and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between AC Milan and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909 match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors. This can differ from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, whereas prediction markets are more directly driven by the probability traders assign to each outcome. The difference can sometimes reveal information about potential biases or overlooked factors influencing the event. The current volume of $234,480 suggests significant interest in this match.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to differences in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with access to different information, while Predict could have a broader, more casual user base. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $234,480 overall – can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to varying probabilities assigned to the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same outcome for the AC Milan vs. Bologna match.