TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:35 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Serie A match between AC Milan (MIL) and Bologna (BOL), scheduled for 2026-10-28 17:30 UTC. - MIL: If AC Milan wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MIL and BOL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
This market refers to the Serie A match between AC Milan (MIL) and Bologna (BOL), scheduled for 2026-10-28 17:30 UTC. - MIL: If AC Milan wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BOL: If Bologna wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MIL and BOL options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, tends to reflect more purely the perceived probability of each outcome. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially when public sentiment shifts rapidly.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more demand there is for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants regarding the AC Milan vs Bologna match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the AC Milan vs Bologna match, as reported by official sources. The outcome of this market will reflect which team won, or if the match ended in a draw. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor official sources around the resolution date for the definitive outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AC Milan or Bologna would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements from team management or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market leading up to the match.