TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Serie A soccer match between AC Milan and Atalanta BC. The market considers goals scored in the second half, including stoppage time, to determine the winner or a draw.
In the upcoming Serie A game between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Atalanta BC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Atalanta BC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AC Milan" if AC Milan score more goals than Atalanta BC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AC Milan and Atalanta BC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC score more goals than AC Milan in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market incorporates real-time information and sentiment, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional methods. The volume on this market is currently $138.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might have different fees or margin requirements than Predict. Currently, Polymarket currently favors AC Milan to win the second half at 50 percent, while Predict leans toward a draw at an unspecified percentage. These variations are normal and contribute to the overall market efficiency.