TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league, where each team aims to score goals during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the back of the net within the standard match duration. This scenario highlights the offensive capabilities of both sides in a head-to-head contest.
If AC Goianiense and Sport Recife both score a goal in the AC Goianiense vs Sport Recife Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks if a significant number of traders hold a differing opinion about the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both AC Goianiense and Sport Recife will score during the match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more the market believes both teams will score; conversely, a price closer to 0 suggests the market doubts both teams will find the net. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will depend on whether both AC Goianiense and Sport Recife score at least one goal during the scheduled match time. Official match data from a recognized sporting source will be used to determine if both teams scored, and that information will be used to settle the contracts on Kalshi. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AC Goianiense or Sport Recife would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by either manager, might prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.