TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between AC Goianiense and Gremio Novorizontino. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting predictions about the match's offensive intensity. It provides insight into anticipated scoring patterns without influencing the actual gameplay.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the AC Goianiense vs Gremio Novorizontino professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time—increasing the total beyond the specified threshold—are required. Extra time and penalty shootout goals do not count toward any market resolution. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Additionally, Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome, they can buy or sell contracts, driving the price toward what they see as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set prices efficiently, as they can profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of each total goal range.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the AC Goianiense vs Gremio Novorizontino match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored in the game, and 0 for all other contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AC Goianiense or Gremio Novorizontino would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ form and tactical approaches could drive trading activity and alter the market’s price.