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$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: Method of Victory
kalshi

What is the result of Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun?

Volume:
$389,709

Abubakar Vagaev by Decision

 - Kalshi

Abubakar Vagaev by Decision - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 11:41 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Abubakar Vagaev by Decision

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79,050
N/A
N/A
$57,519
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Abubakar Vagaev by KO/TKO/DQ

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,576
N/A
N/A
$70,944
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Malkoun by KO/TKO/DQ

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,893
N/A
N/A
$69,540
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Malkoun by Decision

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,380
N/A
N/A
$52,461
Settled
No
kalshi

Abubakar Vagaev by Submission

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,952
N/A
N/A
$39,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Malkoun by Submission

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,592
N/A
N/A
$17,661
Settled
No
kalshi

Draw/No Contest

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,265
N/A
N/A
$5,135
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

These markets center around how each fighter might achieve victory, letting investors predict whether Vagaev or Malkoun will win by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision.

Kalshi

Markets resolve to Yes if the specified fighter wins by the indicated method (KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision). A technical decision is considered a decision. The fight is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Vagaev vs Malkoun fight tracks the current odds for each possible method of victory, including by knockout, submission, or decision. It also displays the price history, showing how the probabilities have shifted over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $310,382, and the total volume traded on this market is $389,709. This allows you to see how much activity there is and gauge market sentiment regarding the likely outcome of the fight.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result of the Vagaev vs Malkoun fight, as declared by the relevant athletic commission, will determine the winning method of victory. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded method of victory – whether it’s a knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision – and will be verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conferences could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analyst predictions or social media buzz, could drive volume and alter the probabilities associated with each method of victory in this market.