TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club
predict
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Abha vs Al-Shabab?

Total volume:
$1,097
Volume 24h:
$130
86%
Liquidity:
$22,942
16%
Open interest:
$952
0.17%

Al-Shabab

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:21h:52m

Al-Shabab wins

60%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 61¢ buys you 164 shares | Odds: 60% Total Payout: $164 | Net Profit: $64 Multiplier: 1.64x | ROI: 64% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al-Shabab

Trade
60%
Yes 61¢No 42¢
3¢
N/A
$1,092
14%
N/A
$952
2d 21h 52m
Active
polymarket

Al Shabab Saudi Club

Trade
60%
1%
Yes 61¢No 41¢
2¢
$3,615
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 52m
Active
predict

SHA

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
$3,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 20h 52m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
60%
Yes 61¢No 41.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Abha

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 52m
Active
predict

ABH

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
$3,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 20h 52m
Active
polymarket

Abha Saudi Club

Trade
18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$4,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 52m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 21h 52m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
4¢
$3,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 20h 52m
Active
polymarket

Draw (Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club)

Trade
23%
1%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
$3,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 52m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3¢Max: 4¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Saudi Professional League soccer match between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, scheduled for November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Abha will win, Al Shabab will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Abandonment rules differ between platforms, particularly regarding the draw market. Polymarket resolves to 'Yes' in most abandonment scenarios, while Kalshi resolves the win markets to 'No'.Hero tip: Consider the potential for game abandonment when trading the draw market, as Polymarket's rules are more likely to result in a 'Yes' resolution in such cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official ruling or to 'Yes' for the draw market if no result is awarded by Nov 7, 2026. "If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on official ruling. Win markets resolve to 'No' if abandoned without a result. Draw market resolves to 'Yes' if abandoned without a result. "If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Abha vs Al-Shabab professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for November 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Abha win, Al-Shabab win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers results from standard playing time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Abha Saudi Club and Al Shabab Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Abha vs Al-Shabab match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,097, with $135 traded in the last 24 hours. This represents the collective prediction of traders regarding the result of the game. Kalshi currently favors Al-Shabab wins at 46%, while Predict leans toward Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?. This allows for a consensus view of the likely result, incorporating insights from different trading communities.

Prediction market odds, like those seen in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, as the market reflects the aggregate belief of informed participants. While sportsbooks may initially react to news and public sentiment, this market continuously adjusts as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. The volume of $1,097 demonstrates active participation and a dynamic pricing process.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Kalshi and Predict can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity levels. Kalshi may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to varying interpretations of the available information. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, differing trading limits or commission rates could create price discrepancies. The current volume suggests active trading on Kalshi, potentially contributing to a more refined price signal, while Predict exhibits a different trading pattern.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Abha vs Al-Shabab match, as officially recorded by sporting authorities, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market data shortly after the match concludes. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants, based on publicly available information.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Abha or Al-Shabab would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could influence predictions. Major upsets in other relevant matches within the league could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape.