TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Abha and Al-Ittihad. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Abha vs Al-Ittihad professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reveal different perspectives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view, particularly if there's significant uncertainty or disagreement among traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Abha vs Al-Ittihad match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a consensus view. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the strength of buying and selling interest for each possible total goals outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Abha vs Al-Ittihad match, as officially recorded by the league organizers, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play count towards the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Abha or Al-Ittihad would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts offering strong opinions on the likely goal tally could sway trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also trigger price fluctuations as others react to their actions.