TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:27 AM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams facing off in a league fixture where both must score during regular time—including any added stoppage time—to meet a specific condition. This encounter is part of the regular season schedule for the professional football league. The outcome depends solely on the scoring events within the standard match duration.
If Abha and Al-Ittihad both score a goal in the Abha vs Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different value than what’s available at traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Abha and Al-Ittihad will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s collective prediction. The current price reflects the aggregated view of all traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Abha and Al-Ittihad score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. Traders holding contracts predicting 'Yes' will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding 'No' contracts will receive a payout if one or both teams fail to score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Abha or Al-Ittihad would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or managerial decisions might also shift the price. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.