TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 10:38 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Abha and Al-Faisaly will determine whether more than a certain number of goals are scored within regular time, affecting outcomes for various scoring thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Abha vs Al-Faisaly professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing evolves as individuals buy and sell contracts based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the Abha vs Al-Faisaly match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (over 1.5 goals), the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Abha vs Al-Faisaly match – will be used to determine whether over 1.5 goals were scored. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout of 100 minus the contract price they paid.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Abha or Al-Faisaly could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also play a role. Additionally, team form and recent performance in other matches will likely be considered by traders. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price movements in this market.