TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Scottish Premiership soccer match between Aberdeen and St. Mirren. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams in a single, regulation-time contest.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Aberdeen versus St. Mirren Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined number of goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the actual goal count exceeds any given threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may initially set lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the Aberdeen vs St. Mirren match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Aberdeen vs St. Mirren match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual total goals will receive a payout of 100, while those holding losing contracts will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen or St. Mirren would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, tactical announcements from the managers, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.