TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match. Different markets evaluate whether Aberdeen wins by a margin greater than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether St. Johnstone wins by a margin greater than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if either team wins the match. For Aberdeen, winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals triggers a Yes outcome in the respective markets. For St. Johnstone, winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals similarly resolves their respective markets to Yes. All evaluations occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. As with all markets, Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of the probabilities associated with the Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own prices, creating a dynamic market that responds to new information and changing opinions. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match, as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen or St. Johnstone would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team management or key personnel could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, significant public discussion or analysis of the match could sway opinions and drive trading activity in this market.