TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The focus is on whether both teams will score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time at the end of the match. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Aberdeen and St. Johnstone both score a goal in the Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone Scottish Premiership match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. While both aim to predict the outcome of an event, this market’s pricing can diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information and analytical approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both Aberdeen and St. Johnstone scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective forecast. Higher prices indicate greater confidence in 'Yes' (both teams to score), while lower prices suggest more belief in 'No'.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Aberdeen and St. Johnstone score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Any abandoned or postponed matches will have a resolution process determined by Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen or St. Johnstone would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or any controversies surrounding the teams could also cause price fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to movement in this market.