TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Aberdeen and Falkirk. It evaluates whether the combined goals from both teams exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Aberdeen and Falkirk in their scheduled Scottish Premiership match on October 28, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve solely on the count of goals scored within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with no consideration given to goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed that threshold. The resolution is final and binding once the official match result is confirmed. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even weather conditions, offering opportunities for informed traders to find value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Aberdeen vs Falkirk match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals, driven entirely by supply and demand within the market.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Aberdeen vs Falkirk match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen or Falkirk would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could move the market. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either manager could also play a role in how traders assess the likelihood of different goal totals.