TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Aberdeen and Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Aberdeen wins, Falkirk wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Aberdeen vs Falkirk Scottish Premiership match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends level after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aberdeen vs Falkirk match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might also indirectly affect trading volume and price movements in this market.