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$323,326,361

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419,363

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40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC?

Volume:
$69,698

Aberdeen

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:58 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aberdeen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,671
N/A
N/A
$46,166
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aberdeen FC

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Mirren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,985
N/A
N/A
$5,591
Settled
No
polymarket

St Mirren FC

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,795
N/A
N/A
$4,297
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Aberdeen FC vs. St Mirren FC)

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Aberdeen FC and St Mirren FC on October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Aberdeen winning, St Mirren winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the 90-minute result, with the same data source hierarchy and cancellation/postponement rules.Primary resolution logic: Official SPFL statistics (https://spfl.co.uk/), with fallback to Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome (win, loss, or draw) within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if canceled, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Aberdeen FC and St Mirren FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Aberdeen vs St. Mirren professional Scottish Premiership soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time. If Aberdeen wins, the 'Aberdeen' market resolves to Yes. If St. Mirren wins, the 'St. Mirren' market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only results within regulation time count.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Aberdeen vs. St Mirren match. Currently, the consensus view suggests a roughly 59% chance of a specific outcome, as indicated by the volume of $69,698 traded across both platforms. This represents the collective prediction of users forecasting the result of the game. The 24-hour volume is $69,366, showing recent interest in this particular market. We aggregate data from these platforms to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for this event.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to predict the same underlying probabilities, and arbitrage opportunities can arise when significant differences exist between them.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can all influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity and varying opinions among traders on each platform contribute to these discrepancies. While both platforms aim to reflect the true probability of an outcome, temporary imbalances are common. The current difference in prices reflects the unique perspectives of each platform's participants regarding the Aberdeen vs. St Mirren match.