TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:00h:42m
$
This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Aberdeen FC and Hibernian FC on November 7, 2026. Markets cover whether Aberdeen, Hibernian, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Scottish Premiership game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Aberdeen FC and Hibernian FC.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Aberdeen vs Hibernian Scottish Premiership match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Aberdeen or Hibernian markets occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets are independent of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the distinct mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market, for example, reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. While both aim to predict the result, the underlying approaches and incentives can lead to discrepancies in the implied probabilities.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and fee structures, all of which can influence price formation. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, impacting how quickly prices respond to new information. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-11-07? at 38.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Aberdeen wins at 41.0%. These differences highlight the independent price discovery processes occurring on each venue.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Scottish Premiership match between Aberdeen FC and Hibernian FC will be used to determine the winning outcome. The official result, as reported by a recognized sporting authority, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will dictate the outcome of this market and the distribution of funds.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Aberdeen FC or Hibernian FC would likely cause movement. Managerial changes, tactical shifts, or unexpected team selections could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader football news, such as changes in league standings or other relevant match results, could shift perceptions of each team's chances. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.