TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how a specific combat sports match between Aaron Pico and Losene Keita concludes. It covers various possible outcomes including knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest. The resolution depends entirely on the official result of the fight as recorded by the governing league.
The market resolves to Yes if the Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita fight scheduled for October 24, 2026, ends via any of the four specified methods: KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, Decision, or Draw/No Contest. Each primary rule defines a distinct winning condition, and any one of these conditions being met will trigger a Yes outcome. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league and that all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the official declaration of the fight’s result by the appropriate athletic commission or sanctioning body.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and different participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of a particular finish.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result declared by the event organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. The method of finish – whether it's a knockout, submission, decision, or other – will be verified against credible public sources to determine which contract pays out. Traders should monitor official announcements from the event to understand when the resolution process is complete.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight weigh-in results could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls, could also influence prices. Furthermore, any information about the fighters’ recent performance or tactical adjustments could lead to changes in the probabilities assigned to each method of finish. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential market movements before Oct 24, 2026.