TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Aaron Alhambra vs. Anas Messaoudi
polymarket

What is the result of Aaron Alhambra vs. Anas Messaoudi?

Volume:
$624

Aaron Alhambra vs. Anas Messaoudi

 - Polymarket

Aaron Alhambra vs. Anas Messaoudi - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 7:09 AM EST

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Polymarket

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24h
7d
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Aaron Alhambra vs. Anas Messaoudi

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Aaron Alhambra" if Aaron Alhambra is officially declared the winner of the fight against Anas Messaoudi, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Anas Messaoudi" if Anas Messaoudi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Aaron Alhambra" if Aaron Alhambra is officially declared the winner of the fight against Anas Messaoudi, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Anas Messaoudi" if Anas Messaoudi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s lifecycle. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets can sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional betting venues, though past performance is not indicative of future results.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity influence how efficiently prices reflect underlying probabilities, and the current trading volume plays a key role in price discovery.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Alhambra vs. Messaoudi match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the officially declared winner of the match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result and any potential delays in verification.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches for either Alhambra or Messaoudi could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or public endorsements could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might impact the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to the Oct 4, 2026 resolution.