TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Aaron Alhambra" if Aaron Alhambra is officially declared the winner of the fight against Anas Messaoudi, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Anas Messaoudi" if Anas Messaoudi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.
This market will resolve to "Aaron Alhambra" if Aaron Alhambra is officially declared the winner of the fight against Anas Messaoudi, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Anas Messaoudi" if Anas Messaoudi is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled before it begins, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and liquidity influence how efficiently prices reflect underlying probabilities, and the current trading volume plays a key role in price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Alhambra vs. Messaoudi match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the officially declared winner of the match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result and any potential delays in verification.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches for either Alhambra or Messaoudi could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or public endorsements could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might impact the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to the Oct 4, 2026 resolution.