TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Aarhus and Egnatia Rrogozhine. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The focus is on predicting offensive performance in a single game.
The event consists of multiple markets, each assessing whether a specific number of goals will be exceeded in the Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhine professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 22, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals surpasses the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different goal totals. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources offer unique perspectives on the potential outcome of the Aarhus vs Egnatia match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Aarhus vs Egnatia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored by both teams during regular play will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will be able to view the final result and claim their winnings based on the settled outcome.
Several factors could influence the Aarhus vs Egnatia total goals market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring rate. Unexpected tactical decisions by the coaches, or even early goals scored in the match itself, could shift trader sentiment and alter the prices. Any significant news related to team form or motivation could also play a role in how this market evolves leading up to Oct 23, 2026.