TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:09 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between Aarhus GF and Sønderjyske Fodbold, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aarhus GF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between Aarhus GF and Sønderjyske Fodbold, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aarhus GF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different user bases and information sources, leading to potential variations in assessed probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Aarhus GF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential delays in reporting the official result may slightly postpone the resolution time, but the resolution will occur as soon as a reliable source confirms the final score.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Aarhus GF or Sønderjyske Fodbold could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can cause noticeable price fluctuations, especially if they represent a strong conviction about a particular outcome.